Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.000673 0.000763 0.000858 0.000966 0.001084 0.001210 0.001354
2025-12-07 0.000530 0.000655 0.000795 0.000964 0.001161 0.001383 0.001649
2025-12-14 0.000446 0.000584 0.000748 0.000954 0.001202 0.001491 0.001850
2025-12-21 0.000380 0.000526 0.000705 0.000938 0.001230 0.001579 0.002024
2025-12-28 0.000346 0.000501 0.000699 0.000963 0.001303 0.001720 0.002263
2026-01-04 0.000314 0.000475 0.000687 0.000978 0.001361 0.001841 0.002478
2026-01-11 0.000279 0.000441 0.000660 0.000970 0.001387 0.001920 0.002642
2026-01-18 0.000248 0.000409 0.000633 0.000958 0.001406 0.001989 0.002791
2026-01-25 0.000228 0.000390 0.000623 0.000967 0.001451 0.002092 0.002986
2026-02-01 0.000208 0.000370 0.000609 0.000970 0.001487 0.002182 0.003165
2026-02-08 0.000182 0.000338 0.000574 0.000939 0.001474 0.002205 0.003254
2026-02-15 0.000161 0.000311 0.000544 0.000916 0.001468 0.002236 0.003353
2026-02-22 0.000146 0.000293 0.000529 0.000912 0.001491 0.002308 0.003511
2026-03-01 0.000133 0.000278 0.000516 0.000911 0.001518 0.002386 0.003679
2026-03-08 0.000120 0.000261 0.000499 0.000900 0.001530 0.002442 0.003817
2026-03-15 0.000108 0.000243 0.000479 0.000886 0.001534 0.002486 0.003937
2026-03-22 0.000103 0.000240 0.000483 0.000910 0.001598 0.002618 0.004187
2026-03-29 0.000097 0.000234 0.000482 0.000924 0.001646 0.002729 0.004408
2026-04-05 0.000088 0.000221 0.000468 0.000916 0.001660 0.002787 0.004553
2026-04-12 0.000080 0.000208 0.000452 0.000905 0.001667 0.002836 0.004684
2026-04-19 0.000075 0.000202 0.000449 0.000913 0.001706 0.002933 0.004889
2026-04-26 0.000069 0.000194 0.000442 0.000916 0.001735 0.003015 0.005071
2026-05-03 0.000061 0.000178 0.000418 0.000887 0.001710 0.003013 0.005128